Bajaj Finance, Axis Bank, HDFC Bank Rally Up to 6% on S&P Upgrade and GST Reform Hopes

GST Reform

Bajaj Finance shares rallied sharply in early trade on Monday, gaining as much as 6% alongside Axis Bank and HDFC Bank as investor sentiment improved following S&P Global’s credit-rating upgrades and expectations of GST reforms.

At 10:10 a.m., the Nifty Bank index climbed over 1.3% to around 56,035, while the Nifty Financial Services index gained nearly 2% to trade near 26,810. Bajaj Finance, Axis Bank, and HDFC Bank were among the top gainers, supported by strong buying across the financial sector.

S&P Upgrade Lifts Sentiment

S&P Global on Aug. 15 upgraded its long-term issuer credit ratings for seven major Indian banks — including SBI, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Union Bank of India, and Indian Bank — and three finance companies: Bajaj Finance, Tata Capital, and L&T Finance. The rating agency cited India’s robust economic momentum, improved asset quality, and strong profitability outlook for the financial sector.

“We expect India’s banks to maintain adequate asset quality, good profitability, and enhanced capitalization over the next 12-24 months despite some pockets of stress,” S&P said, adding that overall credit risk has declined. The move comes just a day after S&P upgraded India’s sovereign credit rating, providing a further boost to investor sentiment.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services noted that the upgrade could reduce borrowing costs for Indian financial firms accessing overseas markets. Companies such as Bajaj Finance could see a 15–20 basis point reduction in external commercial borrowing rates, while stronger foreign portfolio investment flows may support the rupee and bond yields.

GST Reform Expectations Add Fuel

Investor enthusiasm was also buoyed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Independence Day hint at a new round of GST reforms, potentially to be unveiled around Diwali. The government is reportedly considering a simplified two-slab tax structure — “standard” and “merit” — with special rates limited to a few items.

Analysts believe such reforms could lower the tax burden on consumers purchasing electronics and other durables, spurring demand. This is expected to benefit NBFCs like Bajaj Finance, which finance retail purchases through affordable EMIs.

The dual tailwinds of a global rating upgrade and anticipated tax reforms have positioned India’s financial stocks for continued momentum, analysts say, as foreign and domestic investors alike increase exposure to the sector.

Nifty 50 Surges Over 400 Points, Sensex Reclaims 80K: Experts Highlight Top Stock Picks

Nifty 50 Surges Over 400 Points

Nifty 50 surges over 400 points as the Indian stock market opened strongly at the start of the week, extending the momentum from Friday’s rebound. The Nifty 50 opened at 24,253 and climbed to an intraday high of 24,330, representing a 423-point rise from its previous close of 23,907.

The BSE Sensex also regained the 80,000 mark, opening at 80,193 and reaching 80,452 during the morning session. The Nifty Bank index posted strong gains as well, reflecting broad-based buying interest across key sectors.

Nifty 50 Surges: Factors Driving the Rally

Political Stability After Maharashtra Election Results
The decisive victory of the BJP-led alliance in Maharashtra’s elections played a crucial role in boosting investor sentiment. According to Palka Arora Chopra, Director at Master Capital Services, the win is expected to bring political stability and strengthen pro-business policies, positively influencing sectors such as infrastructure, urban development, and manufacturing.

“The continuity of policy direction, particularly in infrastructure development, is likely to attract further investments. This could lead to significant activity in the construction and real estate sectors,” Chopra added.

Reliance’s Strong Performance Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Reliance Industries, a heavyweight in the Sensex, gained around 2.5% during early trade. Mahesh M. Ojha, AVP at Hensex Securities, attributed this to rising crude oil prices driven by escalating geopolitical tensions. The company is poised to benefit from increased margins on existing stockpiles, along with continued growth in its retail and telecom businesses.

“Reliance looks strong for both short-term and long-term investors, given the positive trends in its core and diversified operations,” Ojha noted.

Sectoral Outlook

The election results have shifted investor focus from defensive sectors like FMCG and pharma to more aggressive plays in railways, infrastructure, and banking.

Avinash Gorakshkar, Head of Research at Profitmart Securities, observed that government initiatives in infrastructure and railways could drive demand in these sectors. Additionally, increased credit demand from infrastructure projects is likely to benefit banking stocks.

“The alignment of policies between the central and Maharashtra state governments ensures a conducive environment for growth in these sectors,” Gorakshkar stated.

As the market gains momentum, experts suggest keeping an eye on infrastructure, banking, and energy sectors for potential opportunities.

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