Rupee hits highest level in August against US dollar on fading tariff risks, GST boost

Rupee hits highest level in August

Indian Rupee strengthened to its highest level in August against the US dollar on Tuesday, supported by easing concerns over additional US tariffs and expectations that proposed GST reforms could boost domestic economic growth.

The currency rose to as much as 87.2050 per US dollar, compared with 87.35 in the previous session, before settling at 87.2250. Analysts attributed the gains to renewed optimism following the Trump-Putin meeting and upcoming US-Ukraine talks, which Nomura said may reduce the likelihood of new sanctions or tariffs on India over its Russian oil purchases.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s proposed GST rationalisation is also lifting sentiment, with economists saying the measures could boost consumption and offset pressure from weak external demand.

While the rupee advanced, most Asian currencies slipped as US Treasury yields climbed, with the 10-year yield hitting a two-week high on Monday.

Bajaj Finance, Axis Bank, HDFC Bank Rally Up to 6% on S&P Upgrade and GST Reform Hopes

GST Reform

Bajaj Finance shares rallied sharply in early trade on Monday, gaining as much as 6% alongside Axis Bank and HDFC Bank as investor sentiment improved following S&P Global’s credit-rating upgrades and expectations of GST reforms.

At 10:10 a.m., the Nifty Bank index climbed over 1.3% to around 56,035, while the Nifty Financial Services index gained nearly 2% to trade near 26,810. Bajaj Finance, Axis Bank, and HDFC Bank were among the top gainers, supported by strong buying across the financial sector.

S&P Upgrade Lifts Sentiment

S&P Global on Aug. 15 upgraded its long-term issuer credit ratings for seven major Indian banks — including SBI, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Union Bank of India, and Indian Bank — and three finance companies: Bajaj Finance, Tata Capital, and L&T Finance. The rating agency cited India’s robust economic momentum, improved asset quality, and strong profitability outlook for the financial sector.

“We expect India’s banks to maintain adequate asset quality, good profitability, and enhanced capitalization over the next 12-24 months despite some pockets of stress,” S&P said, adding that overall credit risk has declined. The move comes just a day after S&P upgraded India’s sovereign credit rating, providing a further boost to investor sentiment.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services noted that the upgrade could reduce borrowing costs for Indian financial firms accessing overseas markets. Companies such as Bajaj Finance could see a 15–20 basis point reduction in external commercial borrowing rates, while stronger foreign portfolio investment flows may support the rupee and bond yields.

GST Reform Expectations Add Fuel

Investor enthusiasm was also buoyed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Independence Day hint at a new round of GST reforms, potentially to be unveiled around Diwali. The government is reportedly considering a simplified two-slab tax structure — “standard” and “merit” — with special rates limited to a few items.

Analysts believe such reforms could lower the tax burden on consumers purchasing electronics and other durables, spurring demand. This is expected to benefit NBFCs like Bajaj Finance, which finance retail purchases through affordable EMIs.

The dual tailwinds of a global rating upgrade and anticipated tax reforms have positioned India’s financial stocks for continued momentum, analysts say, as foreign and domestic investors alike increase exposure to the sector.