Bajaj Finance, Axis Bank, HDFC Bank Rally Up to 6% on S&P Upgrade and GST Reform Hopes

GST Reform

Bajaj Finance shares rallied sharply in early trade on Monday, gaining as much as 6% alongside Axis Bank and HDFC Bank as investor sentiment improved following S&P Global’s credit-rating upgrades and expectations of GST reforms.

At 10:10 a.m., the Nifty Bank index climbed over 1.3% to around 56,035, while the Nifty Financial Services index gained nearly 2% to trade near 26,810. Bajaj Finance, Axis Bank, and HDFC Bank were among the top gainers, supported by strong buying across the financial sector.

S&P Upgrade Lifts Sentiment

S&P Global on Aug. 15 upgraded its long-term issuer credit ratings for seven major Indian banks — including SBI, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Union Bank of India, and Indian Bank — and three finance companies: Bajaj Finance, Tata Capital, and L&T Finance. The rating agency cited India’s robust economic momentum, improved asset quality, and strong profitability outlook for the financial sector.

“We expect India’s banks to maintain adequate asset quality, good profitability, and enhanced capitalization over the next 12-24 months despite some pockets of stress,” S&P said, adding that overall credit risk has declined. The move comes just a day after S&P upgraded India’s sovereign credit rating, providing a further boost to investor sentiment.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services noted that the upgrade could reduce borrowing costs for Indian financial firms accessing overseas markets. Companies such as Bajaj Finance could see a 15–20 basis point reduction in external commercial borrowing rates, while stronger foreign portfolio investment flows may support the rupee and bond yields.

GST Reform Expectations Add Fuel

Investor enthusiasm was also buoyed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Independence Day hint at a new round of GST reforms, potentially to be unveiled around Diwali. The government is reportedly considering a simplified two-slab tax structure — “standard” and “merit” — with special rates limited to a few items.

Analysts believe such reforms could lower the tax burden on consumers purchasing electronics and other durables, spurring demand. This is expected to benefit NBFCs like Bajaj Finance, which finance retail purchases through affordable EMIs.

The dual tailwinds of a global rating upgrade and anticipated tax reforms have positioned India’s financial stocks for continued momentum, analysts say, as foreign and domestic investors alike increase exposure to the sector.

Nifty 50 Surges Over 400 Points, Sensex Reclaims 80K: Experts Highlight Top Stock Picks

Nifty 50 Surges Over 400 Points

Nifty 50 surges over 400 points as the Indian stock market opened strongly at the start of the week, extending the momentum from Friday’s rebound. The Nifty 50 opened at 24,253 and climbed to an intraday high of 24,330, representing a 423-point rise from its previous close of 23,907.

The BSE Sensex also regained the 80,000 mark, opening at 80,193 and reaching 80,452 during the morning session. The Nifty Bank index posted strong gains as well, reflecting broad-based buying interest across key sectors.

Nifty 50 Surges: Factors Driving the Rally

Political Stability After Maharashtra Election Results
The decisive victory of the BJP-led alliance in Maharashtra’s elections played a crucial role in boosting investor sentiment. According to Palka Arora Chopra, Director at Master Capital Services, the win is expected to bring political stability and strengthen pro-business policies, positively influencing sectors such as infrastructure, urban development, and manufacturing.

“The continuity of policy direction, particularly in infrastructure development, is likely to attract further investments. This could lead to significant activity in the construction and real estate sectors,” Chopra added.

Reliance’s Strong Performance Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Reliance Industries, a heavyweight in the Sensex, gained around 2.5% during early trade. Mahesh M. Ojha, AVP at Hensex Securities, attributed this to rising crude oil prices driven by escalating geopolitical tensions. The company is poised to benefit from increased margins on existing stockpiles, along with continued growth in its retail and telecom businesses.

“Reliance looks strong for both short-term and long-term investors, given the positive trends in its core and diversified operations,” Ojha noted.

Sectoral Outlook

The election results have shifted investor focus from defensive sectors like FMCG and pharma to more aggressive plays in railways, infrastructure, and banking.

Avinash Gorakshkar, Head of Research at Profitmart Securities, observed that government initiatives in infrastructure and railways could drive demand in these sectors. Additionally, increased credit demand from infrastructure projects is likely to benefit banking stocks.

“The alignment of policies between the central and Maharashtra state governments ensures a conducive environment for growth in these sectors,” Gorakshkar stated.

As the market gains momentum, experts suggest keeping an eye on infrastructure, banking, and energy sectors for potential opportunities.

Read Also: Mutual fund monthly SIP inflow crosses Rs 25,000 crore mark for first time

Mutual fund monthly SIP inflow crosses Rs 25,000 crore mark for first time

SIP inflow crosses Rs 25k crore

SIP inflow crosses Rs 25k crore in October 2024, a notable increase from ₹24,509 crore in September. This is the first time SIP inflows have exceeded the ₹25,000 crore mark.

The number of new SIP registrations also saw significant growth, with 63.7 lakh new accounts in October, up from 58.7 lakh in September.

As a result, the total number of SIP accounts rose to 10.12 crore, reflecting a 2.5% increase from 9.87 crore in the previous month.

The total Assets Under Management (AUM) from SIPs reached ₹13.30 lakh crore in October, marking a 2.3% rise from ₹13.01 lakh crore in September. This growth comes amid a broader trend of rising equity inflows, with the mutual fund industry recording its 44th consecutive month of positive inflows.

The retail folios have now crossed 17.23 crore, with the total AUM standing at ₹67.26 lakh crore.

Anish Mehta, National Head of Sales, Marketing & Digital Business at Kotak Mahindra Asset Management, noted that investors are increasingly favoring large-cap funds, particularly in the current market environment. He observed, “Investors are recognizing the stability of large-cap funds, and there’s also a shift toward multi-cap and flexi-cap funds for a more balanced risk approach.”

Venkat Chalasani, CEO of AMFI, commented on the broader trend, saying, “October 2024 marks the 44th consecutive month of positive equity inflows, continuing since March 2021. This sustained momentum in SIPs and AUM is a testament to the growing maturity of Indian investors, who are focusing on long-term wealth creation through mutual funds.

Read Also: 5 Reasons why you need a Financial Distributor

5 Reasons why you need a Financial Distributor

why you need a Financial Distributor

A financial distributor can help you make more informed investment decisions by understanding your financial goals, risk appetite and investment needs. Just as a doctor helps you take care of your physical health, a financial distributor can help you understand and manage different aspects of your financial journey.

In today’s fast-changing financial environment, simply saving money may not be enough to achieve long-term goals. A structured investment approach can help you work towards goals such as buying a home, funding education or planning for retirement.

Financial Distributor: Understand Your Financial Health

Here’s where your financial doctor, or advisor, comes into the picture. Just like you need a doctor for your physical or mental health, you need one for your finances too.

So, how can your financial doctor help you?

  1. Understand your financial health –Your financial advisor will work with you to assess your current financial health – your assets, liabilities, income and expenses. He/she will also consider any expected future obligations (insurance, taxes, other long-term expenses) and sources of income (pension, gifts, etc.) to get a complete picture of where you stand.
  2. Assess your goals –Once your advisor maps out where you stand, he/she will understand your investment goals, time frame and risk appetite. An understanding of risk appetite will allow your advisor to determine your asset allocation. He/she will also assess your retirement needs at this stage.Invest now
  3. Build the financial plan –The next stage is where your advisor charts out a comprehensive financial plan for your goals. This plan will include details such as where to invest, how much to invest, for how long to invest. He/she has the expertise to understand how all these products will work in tandem for you to achieve your goals. The plan will also look at your retirement plan, your projected withdrawal rates during retirement and have the best- and worst-case scenarios for your expected life span. If you’re already investing for your goals, your advisor will review your current habits and suggest a course of action. If you’re investing without goals in mind, your advisor will help you allocate your existing investments for your goals. Read why goal-based investing is important here. Once your plan is ready, it’s on you to implement it.
  4. Help you understand where you’re investing –When building your financial plan, it is important to understand the products you’re investing in. The pros and cons, how it fits in your portfolio, what it can do for you – your advisor will help you with this.
  5. Regular reviews and adjustments –It’s a good idea to revisit your investments regularly to check if you’re on track, review what you’re doing and see if you need to adjust your plan to incorporate new goals or modify/remove existing ones. Depending on your needs, your advisor will suggest changes to take you closer to your goals.

Financial advisors are the doctors you need for your financial health. With their expertise, you can get the best out of your investments.